1, The red wall - CBC news is referring to the last federal election, because the federal Liberals hold all 32 seats in Atlantic Canada.
But shi-ma-he was clearly saying they were about same "in history", which is right. Since May 1931, 6 were PC and 8 were liberal. The previous one, David, was from PC. So it's correct that NB is not "very left"
2, Quote: In a parliamentary system, the convention is that the existing premier has the first opportunity to form government.
Based on this, your claim is a lie. More seats but fewer than the majority will not give you the priority.
3, no matter the polls were right or wrong, that does not make his words a lie. you may say the numbers from polls were lies only if you can prove.
it just seems that you have problem understanding of lies/lying.