关于英国脱离欧盟的公投，律政混混本来已经根据之前发生的政治事件预测了：
如果不出其他意外的话，英国还得乖乖待在欧盟
自从留守派MP Jo Cox被有美国新纳粹背景的狂徒刺杀身亡后，“继续留在欧盟”就是必然的公投结果。多年前英国加入欧盟时也有类似的事件，以及台湾陈水扁当选的三一九事件，都是标准的政治势力以血腥事件改变选举胶着状态的必杀技！相对于陈水扁亲自出演苦肉计，用两个孩子妈妈的生命代价博得不明真相人的同情选票，才是西方“民主”政治的最高黑段！
然而， 老太太今天被媒体（The Sun）爆料表态了，与英国首相意见相反。这下热闹了，君主立宪帝国的臣子们是要忠于女王陛下呢？ 还是摆民主的高姿态，受政客摆弄呢？美国那厢看热闹的媒体已经定调这是lose-lose公投，怎么都是输。那就测测输了之后的结果吧。律政混混认为：如果留守派赢，女王还是考虑考虑传位吧；如果脱盟派赢，卡梅伦就得想想怎么全身而退了。
另外，谋杀Jo Cox的凶手被爆出与美国的新纳粹组织关联密切，而爆料老太太意向的媒体又被叱责“严重误导”，那么“政治正确”的倾向报道就合乎规范了吗？反正有人引导这场公投就对了。下面是我发的英文博文，欢迎批评指正。-律政混混， IForYou, Tumblr blogger (English/Chinese) and 新浪博客博主，《魁北克新公司法》中法英三语对照及麻辣诠释第一人！吾心自有光明月，千古团圆水无缺！
When MP Jo Cox, a mother of two children, pro-remain, was killed one week before the Brexit referendum by Thomas Mair who linked to a US-based neo-Nazi group, it was certainly a tie-break, swung voters in favor of the remain although it was quite contrary before her death.
An insidious murder or shooting like this is always decisive, as the 3-19 shooting incident in Taiwan affected the election’s outcome. However, dramatically, according to the Guardian, “the Sun quotes Lacey as saying:’The Queen has no vote but she’s definitely Eurosceptic.’” Wow, a tie again!
As such, I will say, after the Brexit vote, either The Queen would like to re-consider abdicate if the remain wins, or Prime Minister David Cameron faces the administration challenge if the leave wins.
No matter what, when the Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO) ruled that the newspaper’s headline was “significantly misleading”, it implied that right-leading/rigging is acceptable and someone is rigging the referendum!
再看看Jo Cox遇刺前后公投发生的变化/ What did MP Jo Cox’s death change on June 16, 2016? Keep reading and find more weird things……
https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/
http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-brexit-watch/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/22/eu-referendum-poll-the-latest-tracker-and-odds/
如果不出其他意外的话，英国还得乖乖待在欧盟
自从留守派MP Jo Cox被有美国新纳粹背景的狂徒刺杀身亡后，“继续留在欧盟”就是必然的公投结果。多年前英国加入欧盟时也有类似的事件，以及台湾陈水扁当选的三一九事件，都是标准的政治势力以血腥事件改变选举胶着状态的必杀技！相对于陈水扁亲自出演苦肉计，用两个孩子妈妈的生命代价博得不明真相人的同情选票，才是西方“民主”政治的最高黑段！
然而， 老太太今天被媒体（The Sun）爆料表态了，与英国首相意见相反。这下热闹了，君主立宪帝国的臣子们是要忠于女王陛下呢？ 还是摆民主的高姿态，受政客摆弄呢？美国那厢看热闹的媒体已经定调这是lose-lose公投，怎么都是输。那就测测输了之后的结果吧。律政混混认为：如果留守派赢，女王还是考虑考虑传位吧；如果脱盟派赢，卡梅伦就得想想怎么全身而退了。
另外，谋杀Jo Cox的凶手被爆出与美国的新纳粹组织关联密切，而爆料老太太意向的媒体又被叱责“严重误导”，那么“政治正确”的倾向报道就合乎规范了吗？反正有人引导这场公投就对了。下面是我发的英文博文，欢迎批评指正。-律政混混， IForYou, Tumblr blogger (English/Chinese) and 新浪博客博主，《魁北克新公司法》中法英三语对照及麻辣诠释第一人！吾心自有光明月，千古团圆水无缺！
When MP Jo Cox, a mother of two children, pro-remain, was killed one week before the Brexit referendum by Thomas Mair who linked to a US-based neo-Nazi group, it was certainly a tie-break, swung voters in favor of the remain although it was quite contrary before her death.
An insidious murder or shooting like this is always decisive, as the 3-19 shooting incident in Taiwan affected the election’s outcome. However, dramatically, according to the Guardian, “the Sun quotes Lacey as saying:’The Queen has no vote but she’s definitely Eurosceptic.’” Wow, a tie again!
As such, I will say, after the Brexit vote, either The Queen would like to re-consider abdicate if the remain wins, or Prime Minister David Cameron faces the administration challenge if the leave wins.
No matter what, when the Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO) ruled that the newspaper’s headline was “significantly misleading”, it implied that right-leading/rigging is acceptable and someone is rigging the referendum!
再看看Jo Cox遇刺前后公投发生的变化/ What did MP Jo Cox’s death change on June 16, 2016? Keep reading and find more weird things……
https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/
http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-brexit-watch/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/22/eu-referendum-poll-the-latest-tracker-and-odds/
