加央行在不到两个月之内第二次加息

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加央行在不到两个月之内第二次加息,环球邮报报道:
The Bank of Canada has hiked its key interest rate for the second time in less than two months amid surprisingly resurgent growth across the country.
The central bank raised its overnight lending rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 1 per cent Wednesday, surprising many analysts who had not expected another rate increase until at least October.
"Recent economic data have been stronger than expected, supporting the bank's view that growth in Canada is becoming more broadly based and self-sustaining," the bank said in a statement.
The bank also cited "robust" consumer spending, "solid" job and income growth, "cooling" housing markets as well as "more widespread strength" in exports and business investment.
The loonie surged after the announcement, jumping more than a cent to top 82 cents (U.S.).
Inflation, on the other hand, still remains below the bank's 2-per-cent target. The statement highlighted a recent "slight increase" in key measures of inflation in Canada, but noted that wage and price pressures are more subdued than normal in all developed countries.
Wednesday's decision reinforces the message that the era of easy money and low rates is coming to an end in Canada. The central bank's overnight rate generally sets the pattern for mortgages, bonds and deposits.
The bank offered few clues about what it will do next, or when. Future rate hikes are not "predetermined and will be guided by incoming economic data and financial market developments," according to the statement.
The Bank of Canada made it clear that it is keeping a close eye on how higher lending rates will affect heavily indebted Canadians.
"Given elevated household indebtedness, close attention will be paid to the sensitivity of the economy to higher interest rates," the bank said.
Central bank officials have worried in recent years about risky borrowing by some Canadians, and what might happen if borrowing costs rise sharply or house prices fall. The bank has repeatedly warned about the overheated housing markets in southern Ontario and B.C.
The bank's next scheduled rate-setting is Oct. 25., when the bank is also due to release its quarterly forecast.
Financial markets had priced in a roughly 50-50 chance of a rate hike Wednesday, but the vast majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg still believed the Bank of Canada would wait.
Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz Bank of Canada and his central bank colleagues have badly underestimated how fast the economy was growing early this year.
"The level of GDP growth is now higher than the bank expected," the bank acknowledged.
Canada's surging economy, coupled with the sudden shift in thinking at the Bank of Canada, has given a lift to the Canadian dollar, which was trading at more than 80 cents (U.S.) before Wednesday's rate announcement.
The final piece of surprising news came last week, when Statistics Canada reported that the economy surged ahead at a 4.5 per cent annual clip in the second quarter – best among Group of Seven countries and nearly twice as fast as the bank had projected in July.
That followed a very strong 3.7 per cent pace in the first three months of the year.
At 1 per cent, the bank's key interest rate is now exactly where it was in January 2015 – before the central bank made two emergency rate cuts to deal with the aftershocks of the oil price collapse.
Back in July, the Bank of Canada increased its key interest rate for the first time in seven years, saying the economy was now strong enough for it to unwind that rate relief.
https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/re...a-interest-rate-announcement/article36182110/
 
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当政府统计局公布第二季度强劲增长4.5%时,我已想到央行很可能会加息。4.5%的增长速确实比较令人意外,我不知道其它城市的情况,但在哈法我早已感受到经济的增长。
哥是怎么感觉到的,用什么感觉?我用皮肤怎么都感觉不到。
 
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哥是怎么感觉到的,用什么感觉?我用皮肤怎么都感觉不到。
哈法绝大多数人的收入来源于工作,living by pay check。近几年我发现餐厅的生意特别好,尤其是星期一这个生意最差的日子,餐厅居然坐满了人,而且要排队等座。这是西餐厅。中餐我很少去,只在节假日才去。我以前做过快餐,对这方面特别敏感。
 
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哈法绝大多数人的收入来源于工作,living by pay check。近几年我发现餐厅的生意特别好,尤其是星期一这个生意最差的日子,餐厅居然坐满了人,而且要排队等座。这是西餐厅。中餐我很少去,只在节假日才去。我以前做过快餐,对这方面特别敏感。
是,人们敢消费了应该是口袋里面有银子了。
 
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哈法绝大多数人的收入来源于工作,living by pay check。近几年我发现餐厅的生意特别好,尤其是星期一这个生意最差的日子,餐厅居然坐满了人,而且要排队等座。这是西餐厅。中餐我很少去,只在节假日才去。我以前做过快餐,对这方面特别敏感。
你比人家经济学博士还懂经济嘛。
 
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你比人家经济学博士还懂经济嘛。
我这是直觉,人家有一套理论。
再比如说哈法没有所谓的财富效应。就是说哈法的房价将近二十年来都是温和的以平均5%的速度增长,而不像温哥华以倍数增长。如果像温哥华那样,人们觉得自己的资产膨胀了,而敢于消费。
 

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