【房产不快讯】卡尔加里2021年10月房地产市场总结-市场仍倾向于卖方
卡尔加里2021年11月1日讯 – 2021年10月卡尔加里共售出房屋2186套，创该月的历史新高，比长期平均高出35%。年初至今的总销量也创出历史新高，比过去五年同期高出61%，比过去10年同期平均高出42%。
“进入第四季度，卡尔加里房屋需求继续超出预期。主要原因可能是
市场对未来经济复苏的信心和
加息预期下许多买家急于入场的紧迫心理造成。” 卡尔加里地产经纪协会首席经济师 Ann-Marie Lurie这样总结到。
新挂牌量同比确实增加，但销售增加的更多，所以库存进一步降低，比去年同期和长期平均增长了16%。房屋供给勉强能满足需求，但强劲的销售让房屋供应月数进一步降低。10月卡城房屋供应月数仅为2.23。
持续的偏紧市场也让10月的基准价格上涨了一些，达到 $460,100，环比略增，比去年10月的$422,600涨了9%。
房产分类数据
独立屋
Detached
卡城大多数区域的独立屋销售皆有增长，同比涨幅为17%。销量增长最多的是目前卡城房价最便宜的东北区和东区。
新挂牌量为1350套，同比增加，独立屋销量为1333套，所以10月独立屋的挂牌成交率
（the sales-to-new listings ratio）达到了99%，库存也下降到了2063套，房屋库存月数已在2以下。
独立屋板块的进一步趋紧也造成了价格的上涨。2021年10月卡城独立屋价格涨至$540,900，环比涨近1%，同比涨超10%。
年初至今，北区和东南区的价格涨幅最大，达11%以上。
双拼
Semi-Detached
销量继续增长，年初至今的总销量创历史新高。新挂牌减少，挂牌成交率
（the sales-to-new listings ratio）达到了98%，库存下降。
房屋供应月数过去几个月持续下降，让这个板块的价格继续上涨。10月双拼基准价格为$427,800，比去年同期涨近9%。
今年初至今，所有区域的双拼销量都有增加，其中东南区和北区的涨幅最大。 这两个区的价格涨幅也最大，同比涨幅超过10%。
联排
Row
几乎所有区域的联排销量都有增长，年初至今的联排销量也创了历史新高。不过和独立屋及双拼不一样，这个板块的新挂牌量同比大幅增加，使得库存没有出现明显下滑，也让房屋库存月数回到3以上。
联排市场环比趋缓，但仍远比这个月份正常水平紧俏很多，区域之间差异也很大。10月北区、南区、东南和东区的房屋库存月数在3以下。
联排的价格还没恢复到以前高点，不过这个月联排价格确有增长。今年到现在为止，价格涨幅最高的是联排平均基准价格低于20万的东区和东北区。
公寓
Apartment Condominium
相比去年和长期平均来说，10月所有区域的公寓销售可以用强劲来形容。近一半的售出公寓是市中心区的，这也是唯一一个销售环比大幅增加的区。
市中心区销量的增加部分是因为价格调整到位，10月该区的基准价格同比跌了3%+，价格环比也是跌的。
市中心区价格的下滑抵消了其它区域的价格上涨，所以10月整个卡城的公寓价格与去年10月相比基本保持不变。
年初至今，公寓价格同比整体上涨了2%+。各个区域差异挺大，市中心区涨不到1%，西区则涨了6%。因为供过于求，公寓的涨幅远低于其它板块。
常用房地产统计术语：
销售与上市比率（the sales-to-new listings ratio）：给定期间的当前销售套数对比新上市套数，一般采用过去30天的数据。此比率一般是一个百分数，如果在40-60%之间，代表市场比较平衡，如果高于60%，一般指卖方市场，如果低于40%，一般代表买方市场。
房屋库存月数（Months of Supply）:给定时间段（通常是过去30天）结束时库存总数除以同一时期结束时的销售总数。库存月数是房屋供求平衡的另一重要指标。它代表以目前的销售活动完全清算当前库存需要多长时间。
City of Calgary, Nov. 1, 2021 – There were 2,186 sales in October, a record high for the month and over 35 per cent higher than longer-term averages. Year-to-date sales are on pace to hit new record highs and are currently 61 per cent higher than average activity recorded over the past five years and 42 per cent higher than 10-year averages.
“Moving into the fourth quarter, the pace of housing demand continues to exceed expectations in the city,” said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.
“Much of the persistent strength is likely related to improving confidence in future economic prospects, as well as a sense of urgency among consumers to take advantage of the low-lending-rate environment.”
New listings have improved relative to last year, but stronger sales caused further easing in inventory levels, which remain 16 per cent lower than last year and longer-term averages for the month. Supply levels have struggled to keep pace with demand, but much of the decline in the months of supply has been related to the strong sales levels. As of October, the months of supply dipped to just over two months.
Persistently tight market conditions did cause some benchmark price gains this month. The benchmark price in October reached $460,100, slightly higher than last month and nearly nine per cent higher than the $422,600 recorded last October.
HOUSING MARKET FACTS
Detached
Thanks to gains in most districts, detached home sales improved by 17 per cent compared to last year. The strongest sales growth this month occurred in the North East and East districts, which are the most affordable districts in the city.
New listings improved relative to last year’s levels, but with 1,350 new listings in October and 1,333 sales, the sales-to-new-listings ratio for detached homes rose to 99 per cent, inventories fell to 2,063 units and the moths of supply dipped below two months.
Further tightening in the detached market resulted in upward pressure on home prices. In October, the detached price reached $540,900, up nearly one per cent compared with last month and over 10 per cent higher than levels reported last October. On a year-to-date basis, price growth has been the strongest in the North and South East districts, where prices have increased by over 11 per cent.
Semi-Detached
Sales continued to improve this month, contributing to the year-to-date record high. However, new listings eased and the sales-to-new-listings ratio rose to 98 per cent as inventories fell. The months of supply, which has trended down over the past several months, once again placed upward pressure on prices in the sector.
The semi-detached benchmark price rose to $427,800 this month, nearly nine per cent higher than last year’s levels. So far this year, sales have improved across every district, but the tightest conditions have been in the South East and North districts. These two districts have also seen the highest year-to-date price gains, which have exceeded 10 per cent.
Row
Thanks to improvements across most districts, row sales remained relatively strong in October, contributing to the year-to-date record high. However, unlike other sectors, the row sector did see a significant increase in new listings compared with last year’s levels, preventing a large decline in inventory. This helped push the months of supply back above three months. The market is not as tight as it was last month, but conditions are still far tighter than levels typically seen during this time of year and vary significantly by district. The months of supply remained below three months in the North, South, South East and East districts in October.
Row prices have not recovered from previous highs, but prices did trend up this month. So far this year, the largest gains have been for row homes in both the East and North East districts, where benchmark prices have averaged less than $200,000 in 2021.
Apartment Condominium
Thanks to improvements across the city, October condominium sales were strong relative to both last year’s levels and long-term averages. Nearly half of the condo sales occurred in the City Centre, which was the only district to see monthly sales trend up significantly relative to last month. Some of the sales gains could be related to price adjustments in the district, as October benchmark prices were over three per cent lower than last year’s levels and trended down from last month. The decline in the City Centre prices offset the gains recorded in other parts of the city, causing citywide figures to remain relatively unchanged from levels recorded last October.
Despite some of the monthly shifts on a year-to-date basis, condominium prices have improved by over two per cent compared with last year, with gains ranging from less than one per cent in the City Centre to over six per cent in the West district. Price gains for apartments are far lower than other property types, as the same supply challenges have not existed in this sector.
REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie
October was another record high month for sales. This contributed to year-to-date sales of 2,039, nearly 81 per cent higher than average activity from the past five years. Lifestyle choices, low interest rates and Airdrie’s relatively affordable detached homes compared with Calgary have supported the strong sales.
While new-home starts are ramping up, it has done little to ease the supply shortages facing the resale market. In October, sales outpaced new listings, causing further declines in inventory levels and a months of supply that eased to one month.
Benchmark prices in October were over one per cent higher than last month and over 14 per cent higher than levels reported last year. Gains have been exceptionally strong in the detached segment of the market, where prices are nearly 16 per cent higher than last October.
Cochrane
Thanks to a jump in sales for higher-density product, sales this month rose to new record highs. Year-to-date sales have pushed to 1,081 units, which is nearly 95 per cent higher than average activity from the past five years.
There was also a turnaround in new listings, which improved in October after several months of easing. This helped improve some of the supply-demand balances, but the Cochrane housing market continues to struggle with sellers’ market conditions.
While conditions remain tight, there was no additional upward pressure on monthly prices in October compared with previous months. As of October, year-to-date total residential benchmark prices have improved by nearly seven per cent across the entire resale market.
Okotoks
For the second time this year, sales outpaced new listings this month, dropping inventory levels to 74 units. This is nearly 60 per cent lower than traditional levels and resulted in the lowest months of supply ever recorded in October.
Conditions remain exceptionally tight, but prices trended down slightly compared to previous months. However, it is important to note that on a year-to-date basis, total residential prices have improved by over nine per cent.
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