昨晚看了加拿大五大党领电视辩论,感觉杜鲁多表现有点欠佳,反而奥图尔和駔勉誠相对更加出彩...

阿吾

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选票寄出去了。不知道有多少人选择邮寄选票,人多的话,大选的结果可能要等几天才能出来。
不多,除非以下几类,而且还需要提前申请选票。。。

==========
Who should consider voting by mail?

Consider voting by mail if:

You are part of a vulnerable population;
You are a student away from home;
You know you will be outside of your riding during advance or election day polls and prefer not to vote early at an Elections Canada office.

Apply to vote by mail before Tuesday, September 14, 6:00 p.m.
Your ballot must be returned by election day.
 
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不多,除非以下几类,而且还需要提前申请选票。。。

==========
Who should consider voting by mail?

Consider voting by mail if:

You are part of a vulnerable population;
You are a student away from home;
You know you will be outside of your riding during advance or election day polls and prefer not to vote early at an Elections Canada office.

Apply to vote by mail before Tuesday, September 14, 6:00 p.m.
Your ballot must be returned by election day.
您略去了这段话上面的一段。邮寄投票中没有提到"除非"这几类。还有if you want to 。
 

阿吾

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您略去了这段话上面的一段。邮寄投票中没有提到"除非"这几类。还有if you want to 。
Who should consider voting by mail?

的意思是不建议邮寄,除非以下情况,而且需要提前申请邮寄投票,所以我说不多。。。
没有强制的意思
 

阿吾

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我的理解是建议这些人邮寄,没有不建议其他人邮寄。

第一段表达不建议邮件,如果你非要邮寄,那么注意以下几点
第二段表达这3类人可以考虑邮件,言外之意,这3类人以外,建议去现场投票

=======================​

Should I vote by mail?​


We know many voters are asking themselves this question. This is a different election, and your voting experience will be different. If you are considering voting by mail, here is what you should know:

  • Voting at advance or election day polls is still the simplest and most efficient option. A number of health and safety measures are in place at each polling location to keep you safe.
  • If you want to vote by mail, plan early. Deadlines apply, and you must allow enough time for your special ballot voting kit to reach you and for you to return your marked ballot to Elections Canada by election day.
  • Once your application to vote by mail is approved, you can't change your mind and vote at advance polls or on election day.
  • Your ballot is your responsibility. If you need help returning your ballot, seal your ballot kit envelopes and choose someone you know and trust.

Who should consider voting by mail?​


Consider voting by mail if:

 
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选举,是一个神圣的权利,神圣的责任,走两步路,是一个应尽的义务,

邮寄选票的验证,怎么做,我不知道,反正我不信任,

有没有跟我一样不信任邮寄的,我不知道,在美国有不少,一个失去信任的选举,是对民主制度的破坏
我尊重您个人的观点,同时保留自己的意见,并尊重所有人的选择。
 
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第一段表达不建议邮件,如果你非要邮寄,那么注意以下几点
第二段表达这3类人可以考虑邮件,言外之意,这3类人以外,建议去现场投票

=======================​

Should I vote by mail?​


We know many voters are asking themselves this question. This is a different election, and your voting experience will be different. If you are considering voting by mail, here is what you should know:

  • Voting at advance or election day polls is still the simplest and most efficient option. A number of health and safety measures are in place at each polling location to keep you safe.
  • If you want to vote by mail, plan early. Deadlines apply, and you must allow enough time for your special ballot voting kit to reach you and for you to return your marked ballot to Elections Canada by election day.
  • Once your application to vote by mail is approved, you can't change your mind and vote at advance polls or on election day.
  • Your ballot is your responsibility. If you need help returning your ballot, seal your ballot kit envelopes and choose someone you know and trust.

Who should consider voting by mail?​


Consider voting by mail if:

我没有读出不建议和非要
 

阿吾

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选举,是一个神圣的权利,神圣的责任,走两步路,是一个应尽的义务,

邮寄选票的验证,怎么做,我不知道,反正我不信任,

有没有跟我一样不信任邮寄的,我不知道,在美国有不少,一个失去信任的选举,是对民主制度的破坏
去年认真看过美国大选后,我不信任邮寄投票
前两天,AZ第三方审计结果终于出来了,

1631643965552.png
 

阿吾

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我没读出建议去现场投票
听话听音,一句话就够。。。

This is a different election, and your voting experience will be different. If you are considering voting by mail, here is what you should know:
  • Voting at advance or election day polls is still the simplest and most efficient option. A number of health and safety measures are in place at each polling location to keep you safe.
 
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听话听音,一句话就够。。。

This is a different election, and your voting experience will be different. If you are considering voting by mail, here is what you should know:
  • Voting at advance or election day polls is still the simplest and most efficient option. A number of health and safety measures are in place at each polling location to keep you safe.
过度解读了,文字不过是解释如何邮寄投票。如果我也解读,那就是现场投票简单,邮寄投票复杂。整不明白的还是去现场吧。
 
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我感觉可能自由党会再次组成少数派政府。保守党和自由党的民调支持率虽然差不多,但是保守党基本盘集中于草原省,优势选区高度集中,所以最终总得票数量可能反映不到议席上。NDP则相反,民调支持率虽然也不低,但是支持者分散在各个选区,在每个选区可能都得不到足够的票数。
 
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我感觉可能自由党会再次组成少数派政府。保守党和自由党的民调支持率虽然差不多,但是保守党基本盘集中于草原省,优势选区高度集中,所以最终总得票数量可能反映不到议席上。NDP则相反,民调支持率虽然也不低,但是支持者分散在各个选区,在每个选区可能都得不到足够的票数。
我希望的结果
 

阿吾

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我感觉可能自由党会再次组成少数派政府。保守党和自由党的民调支持率虽然差不多,但是保守党基本盘集中于草原省,优势选区高度集中,所以最终总得票数量可能反映不到议席上。NDP则相反,民调支持率虽然也不低,但是支持者分散在各个选区,在每个选区可能都得不到足够的票数。
别的省变动不会太大,关键在安省,而且在大多区,
安省121席,上次自由党拿了79席,保守党只拿到36席,NDP6席
这一次保守党和NDP多半会从自由党哪里拿走席位,拿走多少是关键。。。
现在NDP势头挺猛,NDP从自由党哪里分走席位,保守党乐见其成,

Federal seat projection averages per region​

1631718614443.png
 
最后编辑: 2021-09-15

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