- 主题发起人 hxcldf
- 发布时间 2015-05-21
The rapidly increasing cost of housing in Metro Vancouver could have dire consequences for B.C.’s labour market, according to a recent study published by Vancity Credit Union.
Masses of millennials could be making a great exodus out of Vancouver in the near future if housing costs and wages stay on their projected trajectories, causing B.C. to face a potential labour crisis. This ‘brain drain’ is researched in Vancity’s May 2015 study Help Wanted: Salaries, Affordability and the Exodus of Labour from Metro Vancouver, which warns individiuals, businesses and governments that high quality labour is threatened by the increase in the cost of living and unaffordable housing prices.
“Contrary to popular belief,” says Vancity, “Millennials are just as likely to aspire to home ownership as previous generations.” In fact, 93 per cent of those born between 1980 and 2000 plan on owning a home in the future. But they may need to take their plans elsewhere if salaries continue to fall behind the cost of living.
Between 2001 and 2014, the cost of housing in Metro Vancouver increased by 63 per cent – and 211 per cent in the City of Vancouver – while salaries only rose 36.2 per cent. Even at today’s prices, much lower than the projected average cost of a detached home in 2030 ($2.1 million), the salary needed to maintain a typical mortgage in Vancouver for a $713,125 house is $78,088. Finding an occupation that pays enough will not get any easier.
Masses of millennials could be making a great exodus out of Vancouver in the near future if housing costs and wages stay on their projected trajectories, causing B.C. to face a potential labour crisis. This ‘brain drain’ is researched in Vancity’s May 2015 study Help Wanted: Salaries, Affordability and the Exodus of Labour from Metro Vancouver, which warns individiuals, businesses and governments that high quality labour is threatened by the increase in the cost of living and unaffordable housing prices.
“Contrary to popular belief,” says Vancity, “Millennials are just as likely to aspire to home ownership as previous generations.” In fact, 93 per cent of those born between 1980 and 2000 plan on owning a home in the future. But they may need to take their plans elsewhere if salaries continue to fall behind the cost of living.
Between 2001 and 2014, the cost of housing in Metro Vancouver increased by 63 per cent – and 211 per cent in the City of Vancouver – while salaries only rose 36.2 per cent. Even at today’s prices, much lower than the projected average cost of a detached home in 2030 ($2.1 million), the salary needed to maintain a typical mortgage in Vancouver for a $713,125 house is $78,088. Finding an occupation that pays enough will not get any easier.
If housing prices go at the pace projected by Vancity’s Downsizing the Canadian Dream: Homeownership Realities for Millennials and Beyond study, averaging $1.5 million for a detached home in Metro Vancouver by 2030, there will only be a handful of occupations in 2020 paying enough to live in Vancouver:
If the effects are not already obvious, Vancity predicts this lack of affordability will cause:
- Senior managers in financial, communications and other business services
- Senior managers in construction, transportation, production and utilities
- Engineering managers
- Specialist physicians
- Lawyers
- Electrical and electronics engineers
If the effects are not already obvious, Vancity predicts this lack of affordability will cause:
- An abundance of migration out of Vancouver causing a labor crisis
- Businesses to have to pay more to retain talent, causing an increase on the cost of doing business in Vancouver and passing over costs to consumers
- Individuals to move to more affordable housing options such as rentals or sharing living space with multiple households
- Individuals to forgo other expenses like RESP and RRSP contributions
But these repercussions are not just looming in the future; they are already happening. In fact, Vancouver suffered a net loss of 1,571 millennials in 2013, up from 770 in 2012. More and more young people are leaving for Alberta and other provinces where wages are higher.
不会的，北京上海房价高也没说谁都离开北上广呀，一部分人走，一部分人来，房价还是继续高，没钱的蜗居，未来和北京上海一样，租床铺分组
另外已经有人组织5月24日在温哥华艺术馆门口集会，要求政府出台政策解决温哥华的房屋可负担问题，这个集会会不会成为排华的先兆，我们不得而知。但是我们知道的是，温哥华原本就脆弱的种族关系和尖锐的社会矛盾随着去年以来的房价高涨，愈演愈烈，而且有逐渐演化为种族问题。作为亚洲移民的桥头堡，也是东西方文化意识形态交锋的前线，温哥华就像一个试水池，在这里生活的人如同小白鼠，这种实验性的多元文化，移民文化，究竟未来走向何方，祈祷吧
最后编辑: 2015-05-21
最好中国有钱人把温哥华都买下来，中华人民共和国温哥华自治区
But these repercussions are not just looming in the future; they are already happening. In fact, Vancouver suffered a net loss of 1,571 millennials in 2013, up from 770 in 2012. More and more young people are leaving for Alberta and other provinces where wages are higher.
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