热腾腾的新闻：温哥华劳工短缺危机已经显现

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http://www.vancitybuzz.com/2015/05/housing-costs-low-salaries-labour-crisis-study-vancouver/
高昂的房屋价格，低工资已经让温哥华显现劳工短缺危机

 

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The rapidly increasing cost of housing in Metro Vancouver could have dire consequences for B.C.’s labour market, according to a recent study published by Vancity Credit Union.



Masses of millennials could be making a great exodus out of Vancouver in the near future if housing costs and wages stay on their projected trajectories, causing B.C. to face a potential labour crisis. This ‘brain drain’ is researched in Vancity’s May 2015 study Help Wanted: Salaries, Affordability and the Exodus of Labour from Metro Vancouver, which warns individiuals, businesses and governments that high quality labour is threatened by the increase in the cost of living and unaffordable housing prices.

“Contrary to popular belief,” says Vancity, “Millennials are just as likely to aspire to home ownership as previous generations.” In fact, 93 per cent of those born between 1980 and 2000 plan on owning a home in the future. But they may need to take their plans elsewhere if salaries continue to fall behind the cost of living.

Between 2001 and 2014, the cost of housing in Metro Vancouver increased by 63 per cent – and 211 per cent in the City of Vancouver – while salaries only rose 36.2 per cent. Even at today’s prices, much lower than the projected average cost of a detached home in 2030 ($2.1 million), the salary needed to maintain a typical mortgage in Vancouver for a $713,125 house is $78,088. Finding an occupation that pays enough will not get any easier.

 

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If housing prices go at the pace projected by Vancity’s Downsizing the Canadian Dream: Homeownership Realities for Millennials and Beyond study, averaging $1.5 million for a detached home in Metro Vancouver by 2030, there will only be a handful of occupations in 2020 paying enough to live in Vancouver:

• Senior managers in financial, communications and other business services
• Senior managers in construction, transportation, production and utilities
• Engineering managers
• Specialist physicians
• Lawyers
• Electrical and electronics engineers

Five years later, that number diminishes to three. Only senior managers and engineering managers will make enough to live in Metro Vancouver by 2025.

If the effects are not already obvious, Vancity predicts this lack of affordability will cause:

• An abundance of migration out of Vancouver causing a labor crisis
• Businesses to have to pay more to retain talent, causing an increase on the cost of doing business in Vancouver and passing over costs to consumers
• Individuals to move to more affordable housing options such as rentals or sharing living space with multiple households
• Individuals to forgo other expenses like RESP and RRSP contributions

 

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But these repercussions are not just looming in the future; they are already happening. In fact, Vancouver suffered a net loss of 1,571 millennials in 2013, up from 770 in 2012. More and more young people are leaving for Alberta and other provinces where wages are higher.

 

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根据目前温哥华的房屋涨幅和工资涨幅，VANCITY估计到了2020年本地人只有高级经理，医生，律师，和电子工程师等五种职业能支付的起house，到了2025年，能支付起HOUSE的职业降到3种。

 

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在这种情况下，大量1980-2000年出生的年青人已经开始搬离温哥华，企业为了挽留他们将要付出更多的成本来雇佣员工，这对企业也是极大的负担

 

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最近本地各大媒体对温哥华的高房价和可负担问题热炒，天天都有这样的新闻上头条，同时西温华人富豪分尸案也被热炒，RICHMOND中文标牌也被重新拿出来热炒，从这些新闻下面的评论来看，也真算是民怨沸腾，攻击中国人的言论，已经不堪入目。让我们拭目以待，看下面会有什么发生

 

[erugigonc]

不会的，北京上海房价高也没说谁都离开北上广呀，一部分人走，一部分人来，房价还是继续高，没钱的蜗居，未来和北京上海一样，租床铺分组

 

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另外已经有人组织5月24日在温哥华艺术馆门口集会，要求政府出台政策解决温哥华的房屋可负担问题，这个集会会不会成为排华的先兆，我们不得而知。但是我们知道的是，温哥华原本就脆弱的种族关系和尖锐的社会矛盾随着去年以来的房价高涨，愈演愈烈，而且有逐渐演化为种族问题。作为亚洲移民的桥头堡，也是东西方文化意识形态交锋的前线，温哥华就像一个试水池，在这里生活的人如同小白鼠，这种实验性的多元文化，移民文化，究竟未来走向何方，祈祷吧

 

[richtree]

大量1980-2010年出生的年青人已经开始搬离温哥华？

 

[erugigonc]

最好中国有钱人把温哥华都买下来，中华人民共和国温哥华自治区

 

[hxcldf]

不会的，北京上海房价高也没说谁都离开北上广呀，一部分人走，一部分人来，房价还是继续高，没钱的蜗居，未来和北京上海一样，租床铺分组

白人和黄种人忍受力不一样，白人本来就是一股子傲气，不甘压迫。特别是白人年青人。你让他们降低生活质量生活，不如让他们去死。做房东的，看到白人房客，恐怕就头疼。看看蒙特利尔为了点学费就游行示威就骚乱，你就知道了。再不济，看看2011年温哥华骚乱还有1994年温哥华骚乱。不要用北上广中国人的思维给加拿大白人

 

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大量1980-2010年出生的年青人已经开始搬离温哥华？

But these repercussions are not just looming in the future; they are already happening. In fact, Vancouver suffered a net loss of 1,571 millennials in 2013, up from 770 in 2012. More and more young people are leaving for Alberta and other provinces where wages are higher.

 

[erugigonc]

白人和黄种人忍受力不一样，白人本来就是一股子傲气，不甘压迫。特别是白人年青人。你让他们降低生活质量生活，不如让他们去死。做房东的，看到白人房客，恐怕就头疼。看看蒙特利尔为了点学费就游行示威就骚乱，你就知道了。再不济，看看2011年温哥华骚乱还有1994年温哥华骚乱。不要用北上广中国人的思维给加拿大白人

是的，所以他们要走了也挺好，还有很多中国人要来呢，藤出位置给需要的中国人挺好，以后市长议员都说普通话，温哥华就自治了，以后有了中国保安，中国警察，中国地铁，白人警察骚乱就不怕了，哈哈

 

[erugigonc]

But these repercussions are not just looming in the future; they are already happening. In fact, Vancouver suffered a net loss of 1,571 millennials in 2013, up from 770 in 2012. More and more young people are leaving for Alberta and other provinces where wages are higher.

1571 人怎么算出来的，大学毕业生就业报告吗？人家回中国，有人去美国读书怎么就统计出因为房价ne

 

[hxcldf]

1571 人怎么算出来的，大学毕业生就业报告吗？人家回中国，有人去美国读书怎么就统计出因为房价ne

你去问VANCITY去，我就是转载而已。你信不信没用，反正那帮子白人是相信了，没看到下面的评论吗

 

[hxcldf]

是的，所以他们要走了也挺好，还有很多中国人要来呢，藤出位置给需要的中国人挺好，以后市长议员都说普通话，温哥华就自治了，以后有了中国保安，中国警察，中国地铁，白人警察骚乱就不怕了，哈哈

现在已经收紧移民了，投资移民砍掉，EE新移民系统摆明了不要中国人，你还让“很多中国人”怎么来。加拿大的国家大势，难道你还看得不清楚吗

 

[erugigonc]

现在已经收紧移民了，投资移民砍掉，EE新移民系统摆明了不要中国人，你还让“很多中国人”怎么来。加拿大的国家大势，难道你还看得不清楚吗

呵呵，我开玩笑的。不可能中国人自治，法语区要独立都没成功。

 

[wxd111]

不会的，北京上海房价高也没说谁都离开北上广呀，一部分人走，一部分人来，房价还是继续高，没钱的蜗居，未来和北京上海一样，租床铺分组

温哥华有北上广那么多公司吗？

 

[erugigonc]

你去问VANCITY去，我就是转载而已。你信不信没用，反正那帮子白人是相信了，没看到下面的评论吗

嗯，看到了，最近杀人案也很多，只是这类报道太针对性写的文章，不够客观。就算走了1000人，这个城市也不会没人工作，就好像今年前人说温哥华房价泡沫要破了一样。说说而已。
但是如果一旦有暴乱，针对族裔的案件就变成社会动乱，那有可能跌