- 主题发起人 Holmes
- 发布时间 2008-10-10
回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
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回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
[FONT=宋体]CAD fell to the lowest in almost seven weeks against its U.S. counterpart as commodities such as crude oil and copper declined, diminishing the appeal of currencies linked to raw materials. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]The CAD continues to be pressured by lower crude oil prices. Many experts are looking for continued weakness to about the USD/CAD 1.18 level. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体] Oil[/FONT][FONT=宋体], Canada[/FONT][FONT=宋体]’s largest export, extended a three-week decline, dropping 4.4 percent to $63.78 a barrel. Copper fell for a third day in London. The nation relies on commodities for more than half its export revenue.[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]CAD fell to the lowest in almost seven weeks against its U.S. counterpart as commodities such as crude oil and copper declined, diminishing the appeal of currencies linked to raw materials. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]The CAD continues to be pressured by lower crude oil prices. Many experts are looking for continued weakness to about the USD/CAD 1.18 level. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体] Oil[/FONT][FONT=宋体], Canada[/FONT][FONT=宋体]’s largest export, extended a three-week decline, dropping 4.4 percent to $63.78 a barrel. Copper fell for a third day in London. The nation relies on commodities for more than half its export revenue.[/FONT]
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回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
支持 ！！
支持 ！！
小弟学经济的，目前也是从事外贸出口，需整天关注着经济的风吹草动。今年年初走出大家拿移民第一步以后，也开始天天关注cny/usd/cad的走势。目前操作：在5.38的时候买了全年指标的cad，在5.91的时候换成usd。错误在于后面cad回落到5.7几的时候没有再换回cad，不然就super完美了。
今天看了整个帖子，对DNW大虾相当的佩服，嫩是学it的，对经济拿捏得还相当精准地
下面是我对cad走势的一点看法，纯属个人愚见。世界经济总是在曲折中向上的，目前的危机是由于欧美的消费被金融杠杆放大到泡泡破灭而引起的，所以需要一段时间恢复到少消费的状态来修养生息，而各国领导人为了保政绩而出台政策强拉消费，造成目前的虚假的快速回暖。基于以上的分析我认为，cad在一段快速上攻后回调，然后再步入缓慢上行通道。快速上攻到多少？我认为跟油价关联，什么时候油价不涨了就差不多了，油价此次上涨应该不会超过一桶80美元，所以cad应该不会超过6.4，然后步入一个下降通道至油价稳定在50美元一线，估计到5.7，修养生息结束后会再次呈上升趋势看至6.8-7，此时油价应该稳定在60-80美元。随着危机的彻底结束，cny没有出口的压力，再次进入对usd升值通道，估计会升到6.2左右，那个时候cad会再次进入下降通道。这些都是我的直觉，没有建立在图表数据的分析上面，仅供参考。
回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
[FONT=宋体]CAD posted a sixth straight weekly loss as commodities and stocks dropped amid speculation the global economic recovery may be delayed. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]CAD weakened 0.3 percent over the past five days, capping the longest streak of weekly declines since December 2007. Crude oil, the nation’s biggest export, dropped the most in a week since January. Raw materials account for more than half of Canada’s exports. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]The loonie pared early losses after Statistics Canada said the economy lost a net 7,400 jobs last month after a decrease of 41,800 in May. Total full-time employment in Canada fell by 47,500 positions in June, the statistics agency said, while part-time jobs increased by 40,100. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]Stocks declined, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipping 0.4 percent today and posting its fourth consecutive weekly loss. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]CAD posted a sixth straight weekly loss as commodities and stocks dropped amid speculation the global economic recovery may be delayed. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]CAD weakened 0.3 percent over the past five days, capping the longest streak of weekly declines since December 2007. Crude oil, the nation’s biggest export, dropped the most in a week since January. Raw materials account for more than half of Canada’s exports. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]The loonie pared early losses after Statistics Canada said the economy lost a net 7,400 jobs last month after a decrease of 41,800 in May. Total full-time employment in Canada fell by 47,500 positions in June, the statistics agency said, while part-time jobs increased by 40,100. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]Stocks declined, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipping 0.4 percent today and posting its fourth consecutive weekly loss. [/FONT]
回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
[FONT=宋体]Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said his government would run budget deficits for as long as it takes to spur the world’s eighth largest economy. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体] G-8 leaders said this week the recovery from the steepest recession since World War II was too fragile for them to consider reversing efforts to pump money into the economy.[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said his government would run budget deficits for as long as it takes to spur the world’s eighth largest economy. [/FONT]
[FONT=宋体] G-8 leaders said this week the recovery from the steepest recession since World War II was too fragile for them to consider reversing efforts to pump money into the economy.[/FONT]
回复: 加元兑人民币汇率过去3-5年与未来3-5年的走势
[FONT=宋体] 尽管USD/CAD上行动能正在丧失，但是目前汇率基本整固于1.1542上方，后市有望再度掀起新一波升浪。[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]趋势：[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]1.若USD/CAD守稳1.1542支撑，则多头目标指向1.1814阻力；[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]2.若USD/CAD跌破1.1542弱支撑，短期则可能见顶，朝1.0940深幅回撤的风险将上升。[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体] 尽管USD/CAD上行动能正在丧失，但是目前汇率基本整固于1.1542上方，后市有望再度掀起新一波升浪。[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]趋势：[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]1.若USD/CAD守稳1.1542支撑，则多头目标指向1.1814阻力；[/FONT]
[FONT=宋体]2.若USD/CAD跌破1.1542弱支撑，短期则可能见顶，朝1.0940深幅回撤的风险将上升。[/FONT]
