美国眼看着就要成了意大利了，也许你现在还会说怎么可能呢？
先看看3月7日我同学的测试：
下周全世界将被美国疫情爆发的凶猛程度而震撼。从上到下对这个疫情的无知和无畏将重创这个国家。数值模型给出的下周美国东部时间每日午夜之前预报结果如下：
03-08 649
03-09 902
03-10 1,253
03-11 1,742
03-12 2,421
03-13 3,366
03-14 4,678
更惊人的后续预测结果暂时缓公布，先给大家一个心理适应的过程。再下周将根据最新的数据调整参数以后继续预报。
当时我还觉得他的预测太吓人，我想也许3月14日才会过千。那知道今天早上显示美国3月10日累计确诊1052，死亡31例。
美国在应对疫情方面行动迟缓是由于CDC早期的失策。该机构最初只允许其实验室进行检测，严重限制了每天可检测的样本数量。当CDC最初的检测试剂盒在设计方面出现问题、必须重新生产时，检测的瓶颈进一步缩窄。
后来，CDC纠正了错误，进展迅速。授权当地公共卫生实验室负责一些检测工作是缩短检测时间的第一步。允许私营公司推出检测服务也有助于填补检测能力缺口。然而，有人担心检测价格上涨、达到令人望而却步的程度。这将加剧医疗方面的不平等，促使那些工作不稳定的人放弃检测。其最终结果将是增加更多美国人暴露在病毒之下的风险。
特朗普先生的批评者会说，这一切为时已晚。 他们将指出，国家安全委员会的大流行应对小组已于2018年解散，目前尚未更换。 他们还将注意到，特朗普先生的预算一直提议对CDC进行大幅削减，但国会却对此表示反对。 但是，他们不能理解的是，总统多年来一直在应对另一种阴险病毒-他自己的偏执狂，因此，他不得不专注于清除和/或饿死他个人不忠的机构，即使这意味着他的个人不忠。
但是现在市场陷入困境，这意味着机构否认不再具有太大的目的，而现在美国的惯性正开始变得令人尴尬，特朗普先生终于准备好应对这种冠状病毒了。这样，我们可以放心，比任何人都更了解这种病毒的特朗普总统可以控制美国的所有事务。按照他的习俗，特朗普先生将继续寻找患病者和受苦者，只要它们存在于他自己的脑海中即可。
Mr. Trump’s critics will say this is all too late. They’ll point out that the National Security Council’s pandemic response team was dissolved in 2018 and has yet to be replaced. They will also note that Mr. Trump’s budgets have consistently proposed major cuts to the CDC, only to be thwarted by Congress. But what they fail to appreciate is that the President has been tackling another insidious virus – his own paranoia – for years, and, thus, he had to focus on purging and/or starving institutions he felt were personally disloyal, even if it meant his citizens might literally suffer because of it.
But now that the market is in the toilet, meaning that institutional denial no longer serves much of a purpose, and now that America’s inertia is starting to really get embarrassing, Mr. Trump is finally ready to take on this coronavirus thing. With that, we can rest assured that President Doctor Trump, who understands this virus better than anyone, has everything in the U.S. under control. As is his custom, Mr. Trump will continue to look out for the sick and suffering, just as long as they exist within his own head.
先看看3月7日我同学的测试：
下周全世界将被美国疫情爆发的凶猛程度而震撼。从上到下对这个疫情的无知和无畏将重创这个国家。数值模型给出的下周美国东部时间每日午夜之前预报结果如下：
03-08 649
03-09 902
03-10 1,253
03-11 1,742
03-12 2,421
03-13 3,366
03-14 4,678
更惊人的后续预测结果暂时缓公布，先给大家一个心理适应的过程。再下周将根据最新的数据调整参数以后继续预报。
当时我还觉得他的预测太吓人，我想也许3月14日才会过千。那知道今天早上显示美国3月10日累计确诊1052，死亡31例。
美国在应对疫情方面行动迟缓是由于CDC早期的失策。该机构最初只允许其实验室进行检测，严重限制了每天可检测的样本数量。当CDC最初的检测试剂盒在设计方面出现问题、必须重新生产时，检测的瓶颈进一步缩窄。
后来，CDC纠正了错误，进展迅速。授权当地公共卫生实验室负责一些检测工作是缩短检测时间的第一步。允许私营公司推出检测服务也有助于填补检测能力缺口。然而，有人担心检测价格上涨、达到令人望而却步的程度。这将加剧医疗方面的不平等，促使那些工作不稳定的人放弃检测。其最终结果将是增加更多美国人暴露在病毒之下的风险。
特朗普先生的批评者会说，这一切为时已晚。 他们将指出，国家安全委员会的大流行应对小组已于2018年解散，目前尚未更换。 他们还将注意到，特朗普先生的预算一直提议对CDC进行大幅削减，但国会却对此表示反对。 但是，他们不能理解的是，总统多年来一直在应对另一种阴险病毒-他自己的偏执狂，因此，他不得不专注于清除和/或饿死他个人不忠的机构，即使这意味着他的个人不忠。
但是现在市场陷入困境，这意味着机构否认不再具有太大的目的，而现在美国的惯性正开始变得令人尴尬，特朗普先生终于准备好应对这种冠状病毒了。这样，我们可以放心，比任何人都更了解这种病毒的特朗普总统可以控制美国的所有事务。按照他的习俗，特朗普先生将继续寻找患病者和受苦者，只要它们存在于他自己的脑海中即可。
Mr. Trump’s critics will say this is all too late. They’ll point out that the National Security Council’s pandemic response team was dissolved in 2018 and has yet to be replaced. They will also note that Mr. Trump’s budgets have consistently proposed major cuts to the CDC, only to be thwarted by Congress. But what they fail to appreciate is that the President has been tackling another insidious virus – his own paranoia – for years, and, thus, he had to focus on purging and/or starving institutions he felt were personally disloyal, even if it meant his citizens might literally suffer because of it.
But now that the market is in the toilet, meaning that institutional denial no longer serves much of a purpose, and now that America’s inertia is starting to really get embarrassing, Mr. Trump is finally ready to take on this coronavirus thing. With that, we can rest assured that President Doctor Trump, who understands this virus better than anyone, has everything in the U.S. under control. As is his custom, Mr. Trump will continue to look out for the sick and suffering, just as long as they exist within his own head.
最后编辑: 2020-03-11
