回复: 多伦多地产市场依然HOT,现在不买可能下一代都要成renters
多伦多星报
http://www.thestar.com/business/rea...d_toronto_real_estate_market_hot_as_ever.html
First-time buyers find Toronto real estate market hot as ever
By:Susan PiggBusiness Reporter, Published on Fri Mar 29 2013
First-time homebuyers Jody and Michael Fegelman have heard a lot of talk over the last year about Canada’s cooling housing market. All the couple have felt is the sting of its heat.
During their 1½-year search for a home for their two young children, the Fegelmans have been on the losing end of three grueling bidding wars. They have paid for a home inspection on a place someone else got by paying $80,000 over the asking price.
They’ve felt heartache, disappointment and fear that their children Jack, 5, and Lilly, 2½, would be renters for life.
“My parents just kept saying, ‘Wait. Prices are going to come down,’ says Fegelman. “But the truth is, there is a boom going on in Toronto. I don’t think things will change or bidding wars will stop.”
Over the last four years, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has tightened mortgage lending rules in a desperate bid to bring reason to the red-hot housing market, especially in Toronto and Vancouver where prices have hit the stratosphere during the last decade, propelled largely by low interest rates.
That, combined with surging supply of new condo projects, has definitely sent a chill through Toronto’s highrise housing sector since last summer, but demand for lowrise houses shows no signs of letting up.
Although home sales were down 11.5 per cent and listings up slightly as of mid March over a year earlier, unrelenting competition among buyers for too few properties for sale — especially in the City of Toronto — saw prices jump six per cent across the GTA, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board.
Semi-detached homes sold for an average $622,044 in the City of Toronto in mid-March, up a whopping 12.2 per cent from a year earlier (they were up just 2.9 per cent in the 905 regions to $398,328.)
Detached homes climbed by 7.2 per cent to an average $909,910 in Toronto, outpaced slightly in the 905 regions were a 7.7 per cent climb saw average prices hit $603,797.
Townhouses in the 416 region climbed by 8.2 per cent in mid March year over year to $447,460, compared to an almost seven per cent increase in the 905 regions to an average $375,420.
Even the cooling condo sector, where resale condo sales were down almost 10 per cent in mid-March year-over-year and listings have been climbing, saw price growth of 1.9 per cent in the City of Toronto, compared to just 0.2 per cent in the 905 regions.
“We’re seeing a major culture shift and a complete redefinition of what’s desirable and the (housing) market is reflecting that now,” says veteran urban planner Ken Greenberg.
“There is a new North American dream, and it’s no longer to have the suburban house and the fleet of cars. It’s living where you can buy your groceries on foot and you have access to transit.”
With the peak buying and selling period, spring market, just around the corner, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation is seeing some interesting indicators as well.
“We’re not seeing as many first-time buyers getting into the market right now because of affordability, but there is a considerable pool of people who have bought over the past 10 years and have outgrown their condominiums,” says Shaun Hildebrand, CMHC’s Toronto market analyst.
“There is strong demand for move-up properties fairly close to the core.”
The biggest supply-demand imbalance right now in the GTA is for semi-detached homes priced between $500,000 and $700,000 in areas like Roncesvalles and Leslieville, says Hildebrand.
Even some areas of Durham Region, close to Toronto’s border, have seen a tightening of supply because of first-time buyers looking for more affordable housing options, he added.
At the same time, demand for downtown rentals unlike anything seen in the last 20 years has driven rents to mortgage-like levels and is starting to tip the balance in favour of owning, given slipping condo prices and low interest rates, says Hildebrand.
Despite what sounds like all good news for the housing market, selling real estate has never been harder, says veteran broker Sally Cook. And it’s bringing out the worst in the industry: Underpricing to drive up competition for what little is out there and holding off accepting offers for days to create a frenzy of longing.
“It’s become emotionally, physically and financially draining,” for would-be home buyers, as well as agents, says Cook. “I decided last year to concentrate my efforts with first-time buyers looking for condos. There’s lots of inventory and I don’t have to fight over it.”
The frustration of what turned out to be a 1½-year search for a place to call home convinced the Fegelmans they needed to try something different. On the suggestion of their agent, Ira Jelinek, they started mining MLS data earlier this month for houses that had been languishing on the market for weeks.
They were the only bidders for a derelict semi-detached house in the Vaughan Rd. and St. Clair Ave. W. area that had listed since October. Originally priced at $599,000, they were the only bidders and got it for $460,000.
That’s because it needs over $100,000 in renovations.
“It’s very hard to cool or control a market when you have so many buyers chasing the same type of houses,” says Jelinek. “Agents who sell in my demographic, to people in their late 20s and early 30s, are feeling the effects of this market, too.
“The good thing is, this will weed out a lot of the realtors who’ll just say, ‘It’s too hard right now to be an agent.’ This is when the good ones will stick out.”
楼主就多伦多来讲没错,
你不知道多伦多房价连涨了16年吗? 啥时是高位, 1973年5万买个独立屋是高位? 2003年50万买是高位? 还是2013年100万买是高位, 2023年180万买是高位?
没有最高, 只有更高!!
事实是, 在多伦多买了房没有一个说后悔的, 踏空的才悔青了肠子的多得是.
不懂事的不要说啥忠言..
我始终认为,房子以住为本,这是购房置业的主导。很多加拿大本地人,一生要换多种不同的工作,生活在不同的地方,人跟着工作跑,这才是他们愿意租房而不买房的主因。
以住为本,你这点同样是来自国内思维,并不适合这里。我以前(甚至到现在)也是同样的看法,但接触本地人特别是本地科技从业人员多了,才发现本地人的思维并不是“以住为本”。举例说:大多同事都自住一套房,但拥有额外的高层apt出租投资,有的3-4套。不是说人家收入比咱们高多少,这个没办法,人家先天条件比咱们优越,有的是多代人下来积累的财富。但他们大多数人不是炒房,而仅仅就是投资。那持有的架势绝对都是10年以上的,所以也不会因为楼市涨跌而操心烦恼。
当然,花光玩光、自由自在的也不少,但感觉普遍是文化程度、社会地位不高的群体。
楼主就多伦多来讲没错,
你不知道多伦多房价连涨了16年吗? 啥时是高位, 1973年5万买个独立屋是高位? 2003年50万买是高位? 还是2013年100万买是高位, 2023年180万买是高位?
没有最高, 只有更高!!
事实是, 在多伦多买了房没有一个说后悔的, 踏空的才悔青了肠子的多得是.
不懂事的不要说啥忠言..
买房子自住和买房子投资是有区别的.像我等穷人,每个月勒紧裤腰带供个将来可以升值的房子,不敢吃不敢喝,不敢在自己身上投资充电,没有了余地去追求新的机会和更好的生活,人纯粹成了为房子而活,这是典型的房子升值自己贬值.房子是死的,人是活的,你能赚多少钱远比你有多少资产重要,何况有资产通常也就是有负债.如果你没能力赚钱,守个房子也未必能守住.如果自己没有足够能力买房子,无论房价涨势如何,又有什么关系呢?投机的确是有人能赚到,但这比率有多大?如果人人都能靠投机赚钱,这社会迟早要crash.劝有钱人买房子是正常的,以升值为理由劝没钱人也买房子,这有些过分.